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Tanglin: what a changing climate means, and when

Tanglin: little of the land is low-lying, so heat comes first: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C in about 57 years (2083) at today's pace.

At today's pace of emissions. An area-wide estimate for Tanglin planning area, not a reading for any one building.

Open Tanglin on the map

The three dates for Tanglin

Best caseAt today's paceWorst case
CoastalNot before 2150Not before 2150Not before 2150
HeatNot before 2100208357 years · inside a 99-year lease205428 years · inside a 30-year mortgage
Flash-flood downpours, island-wideNot before 2100209064 years · inside a 99-year lease205630 years · inside a 30-year mortgage

Coastal: another tenth of the area's land sits below the safety line (3 m above mean sea level plus projected sea-level rise). Heat: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C. Flash-flood downpours: days with 50 mm or more of rain across Singapore reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level; one date for every area, since the rain model can't tell neighbouring areas apart. For local flooding, see PUB's list below. Mortgage and lease are counted from today.

If you own in Tanglin

The heat date falls after a 30-year mortgage and inside a 99-year lease.

  1. 2026TodayAbout 0% of the land is below the safety line.
  2. 205630-year mortgage endsIf taken out today.
  3. 2083Heat date · 57 years30 or more days a year at or above 35°C.
  4. 2090Flash-flood downpours · 64 yearsIsland-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level.
  5. 212599-year lease endsIf it started today. Count from your own start date.
  6. 2150CoastalNo coastal date by here, which is as far as the sea-level data goes.

What to raise with your managing agent or town council

If you are buying in Tanglin

3 questions to take to a viewing.

Sea level: not before 2150

Little of the land is low-lying: 0% is below the safety line today and 1% by 2100.

Flash floods: inside a 99-year lease

PUB lists 1 flood-prone area or hotspot in Tanglin. Island-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain go from 6.6 to 8.7 a year by 2100, reaching 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level by 2090.

Heat: inside a 99-year lease

Days at or above 35°C go from 4 to 38 a year by 2100, passing 30 a year by 2083.

The numbers

Today20502100
Land below the safety line0%0%1%
Days at or above 35°C a year41038
Days with 50 mm or more of rain a year, island-wide6.67.68.7

At today's pace of emissions (SSP2-4.5). "Today" is modelled, not measured. Tanglin covers 7.6 km² with a median ground height of 13.6 m.

PUB flood-prone areas and hotspots in Tanglin

How these are worked out

Ground heat in Tanglin today

Tree cover54% of land
Ground by day, vs island−0.7°C 15 of 55, 1 = coolest
Ground at night, vs island+0.6°C 31 of 55, 1 = coolest

Cooler than most of 55 areas by day; in the middle at night. Satellite readings of the ground surface, not the air: Landsat by day (2016–2025), MODIS at night, ESA WorldCover for trees. They describe today, not a forecast.

Other planning areas

An independent project, not produced or endorsed by CCRS, NEA, PUB, URA or any government agency. Low land in Singapore is protected today by seawalls, tidal gates and drains; these dates show when more of it will depend on that protection. Prompts, not property, insurance or investment advice.

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